coin flip chance that the player drafted at #10 will work out. Over the past 15 years, here are the players drafted at #10

2023 - Cason Wallace
2022 - Johnny Davis
2021 - Zaire Williams
2020 - Jalen Smith
2019 - Cam Reddish
2018 - Mikal Bridges
2017 - Zach Collins
2016 - Thon Makur
2015 - Justice Winslow
2014 - Elfrid Payton
2013 - CJ McCollum
2012 - Austin Rivers
2011 - The Jimmer
2010 - Paul George
2009 - Brandon Jennings

How many players on that list made an All-Star game? (1- Paul George)
How many would you call really good, solid NBA starters? (George, Bridges, McCollum - I think Cason Wallace will make that list)
How many should have been amazing but were screwed over by cruel fate and terrible coaches (1 - Jimmer :))
How many were so bad that they weren't with the team that drafted them by their 2nd contract? (Davis, Smith, Reddish, Collins, Makur, Payton, Rivers, Jimmer, Jennings).

I think that the Jazz have been fairly good at drafting over the past 10 years, but the odds (and a weak draft class) are stacked against them. I'm not saying Dillingham will be Kyrie, but if he's 60% as good as Kyrie, he would be the 4th or 5th best player on that list above.