Chart below uses KenPom win probabilities to rank for each team the most to least likely victories. Green shaded would be the most likely victories to get a team to .500 (dark green are the 1-5 most likely victories with light green 6-9).
If you sort schedule for each team, the probability to win the #9 ranked game for each of them (and get to .500, if they won all with higher probabilty) follows:
Houston 82%
BYU 78%
Kansas 67%
Baylor 63%
Iowa State 63%
Oklahoma 56%
Texas Tech 53%
Cincinnati 51%
TCU 50%
Texas 45%
Kansas St 36%
UCF 31%
Oklahoma St 27%
West Virginia 20%