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Dec 20, 2020
9:59:23am
jreid191 All-American
My personal NY6 Bowl pick / Top 25 rankings based on various advanced metrics
This isn't what I think the committee will end up doing. Rather, it's my own personal raking based upon a weighting of various advanced metrics. This is strictly numbers based. Here's who I have in the playoff.

Sugar Bowl: 1 Alabama vs 4 Notre Dame
Rose Bowl: 2 Ohio St vs 3 Clemson

If I were "voting" on the matter I'd probably put Clemson at #2 instead of Ohio St, and I guarantee that's what the committee will do as well. I would also personally put Cincinnati at #4 as I think they are deserving of a shot, but the metrics do have them a few spots lower. Ultimately the 4th spot is likely to go to either Notre Dame or Texas A&M. My guess is it will be Notre Dame but it wouldn't surprise me either way. Other NY6 bowls as follows:

Orange Bowl: 5 Texas A&M vs 20 Miami FL
Fiesta Bowl: 8 Indiana vs 21 Oregon
Cotton Bowl: 6 Oklahoma vs 9 Georgia
Peach Bowl: 7 Cincinnati vs 10 Florida

I have Miami as the 3rd highest ranked ACC team at #20. The committee will have North Carolina in the top 15 and they'll get that spot instead (I have them at #22 personally) - unless ND doesn't make the playoff then they'll be in the Orange vs either Georgia or Florida (whoever is ranked higher). It would make sense to rank Florida ahead of Georgia as they won the division of Georgia, but metrics currently have Georgia higher. I suspect committee will have Florida higher of the 2. Also, metrics like Indiana. I think committee is likely to have them down at 11 w/ Iowa St likely being given an NY6 invite instead (so Oregon vs Iowa St in Fiesta Bowl). Remaining teams rate as follows:

11 Iowa
12 Coastal Carolina
13 Iowa St
14 BYU
15 Northwestern
16 Oklahoma St
17 USC
18 Texas
19 Louisiana
22 North Carolina
23 Auburn
24 UCF
25 Colorado

There's not much separation among teams 11 through 16. You could move any of them up/down a spot or two with perfectly valid/reasonable arguments. This is how the numbers I used shook out in ranking them, though. Ultimately the committee probably has BYU closer to 16 or 17. UCF also won't sniff the rankings due to final record, though I think talent-wise they may be top-20 in the nation (possibly a better team than CCU).
jreid191
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jreid191
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Jun 26, 2024
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Related Threads Topic: My NY6 Bowl projections / top 25 ranking based on various advanced metrics (jreid191, Nov 22, 2020 at 11:17am)

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My NY6 Bowl projections / top 25 ranking based on various advanced metrics (jreid191, Nov 29, 2020 at 11:18am)
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