It's a situational snapshot based on a moment in time. As new events unfold, that's going to change things

Sign up, and you can make all message times appear in your timezone. Sign up

Report problem with this ad

Jan 2, 2025
9:36:30am

Indy Coug Loquacious Lummox

It's a situational snapshot based on a moment in time. As new events unfold, that's going to change things

Especially in a sport like football with relatively few scoring plays.

Report problem with this ad

Indy Coug

Bio page: Indy Coug
Joined: Dec 20, 2001
Last login: Jan 6, 2025
Total posts: 190,229 (10,160 FO)

Report problem with this ad

Messages

Author

Time

Holy win probability

Indy Coug Loquacious Lummox

Jan 2, 9:21am

Who created/maintains their model?

BYU'01

Jan 2, 9:26am

I don't know all the nitty gritty, but it's mostly a function of

Indy Coug

Jan 2, 9:29am

It has always seemed incredibly volatile for something based on good data

BYU'01

Jan 2, 9:33am

It's a situational snapshot based on a moment in time. As new events unfold, that's going to change things

Indy Coug

Jan 2, 9:36am

For example, you had a Texas kicker who had made 91.3% of his FGA inside of 40 yards for his career

Indy Coug

Jan 2, 9:38am

It’s pretty terrible and needs to be adjusted

canuckchuck

Jan 2, 9:46am

You realize that 99.9% is not 100%, right?

Indy Coug

Jan 2, 9:48am

These charts turn into a weekly meme

canuckchuck

Jan 2, 10:22am

👍 there have been a 1k games in similar circumstances & only 1 underdog won?

BYU'01

Jan 2, 9:54am

I don't have the data, but it's very likely you don't either

Indy Coug

Jan 2, 9:55am

Absolutely; just curious what their dataset & model looks like

BYU'01

Jan 2, 9:58am

Report problem with this ad

Posting on CougarBoard

In order to post, you will need to either sign up or log in.

Report problem with this ad