Sign up, and you'll be able to ignore users whose posts you don't want to see. Sign up
Nov 23, 2024
10:40:46pm
zuko All-American
Here's how the CCG shakes out in every possible scenario. BYU still has a good
chance.

The Massey Ratings win probabilities haven't updated yet after today, but I can use the win probabilities from before the games this week to simulate the probabilities of these scenarios. I'll update this table and run my usual simulations in a couple days, but even with outdated probabilities, this table is still instructive:
7MiZs76.png

And here's an overall CCG probability table as well as the probabilities of specific matchups, again based on outdated win probabilities for next week's games:
5H3MARS.png
7VE7drY.png

Expect updated versions of these graphs in the next few days.
zuko
Previous username
ThetaSigma
Bio page
zuko
Joined
Aug 4, 2015
Last login
Nov 23, 2024
Total posts
3,358 (14 FO)
Related Threads Topic: BYU's CCG probabilities. We DO NOT want ISU and KSU to win until their game (zuko, Oct 25, 2024 at 10:12am)

Other Related Threads:
BYU losing to ASU and then pulling a Utah to sneak into the CCG (YOHONOMOTO, Nov 21, 2024 at 12:46pm)
Here's a fun and confusing way to look at most likely CCG teams after this week (zuko, Nov 21, 2024 at 12:21pm)
Weekly Simulations Update and Detailed Tiebreaker Scenario Analysis (zuko, Nov 19, 2024 at 7:20am)
Weekly Simulations Update and Tiebreaker Scenarios Analysis (zuko, Nov 12, 2024 at 6:25am)
Weekly B12 Simulations Update. We won the bye week (zuko, Nov 3, 2024 at 3:46pm)
Detailed tiebreaker analysis between BYU, ISU, KSU, and Colorado (zuko, Nov 1, 2024 at 1:38pm)
It may be time to buy CCG tickets. The simulations are looking very pretty (zuko, Oct 27, 2024 at 9:37am)
Messages
Author
Time

Posting on CougarBoard

In order to post, you will need to either sign up or log in.