Here's other teams that would absolutely be in over us (in no particular order and assuming no massive upsets)

1. Oregon
2. Ohio St (even if they lose to Indiana, that's two losses in the B1G which will beat our two losses in the Big 12, especially given their brand)
3. Penn St
4. Indiana (assuming they beat Purdue, they'll have no more than two losses, to Ohio St and possibly in the B1G CCG)
5. Texas
6. Miami/SMU ACC Champ
7. Notre Dame (assuming they beat Army)
8. G5 champ
9. Big 12 Champ

So that leaves... 3 spots for Tennessee, Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss, Texas A&M (if they beat Texas), and BYU

If Texas loses in the CCG the path gets even tougher