make the CFP. There are several "likely to get in" and everyone else has "work left to do."

LOCKS: Oregon

LIKELY TO GET IN: Ohio State, Texas, Penn State, Indiana, Notre Dame, Alabama, Boise State

WORK LEFT TO DO: BYU, Tennessee, Miami, SMU, Colorado, Ole Miss, Georgia, Texas A&M

AT LEAST THERE'S A CHANCE: Army, Kansas State, Washington State, Louisville, Clemson, South Carolina, LSU, Missouri, Tulane, Louisiana, Navy, UNLV, Pitt, Iowa State, Arizona State