Aug 29, 2024
1:58:46pm
1:58:46pm
If you use ESPN's probabilities, here are the regular season outcomes
Probabilities for each record:
0-12 0%
1-11 1%
2-10 5%
3-9 15%
4-8 24%
5-7 24%
6-6 18%
7-5 9%
8-4 3%
9-3 1%
10-2 0%
11-1 0%
12-0 0%
So a 70% chance of 5-7 or worse. 30% chance of 6-6 or better. Not sure how much I trust the ESPN model, but this is more likely than not going to be a rough year.
0-12 0%
1-11 1%
2-10 5%
3-9 15%
4-8 24%
5-7 24%
6-6 18%
7-5 9%
8-4 3%
9-3 1%
10-2 0%
11-1 0%
12-0 0%
So a 70% chance of 5-7 or worse. 30% chance of 6-6 or better. Not sure how much I trust the ESPN model, but this is more likely than not going to be a rough year.
Originally posted on Aug 29, 2024 at 1:58:46pm
Message modified by bythenumbers on Aug 29, 2024 at 1:59:50pm
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