so BYU still has the highest probability of making it out of any teams in the

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Nov 23, 2024
10:42:37pm

franklyvulgar Intervention Needed

so BYU still has the highest probability of making it out of any teams in the

big 12.. kinda cool but then sad when you realize it's about 50/50

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franklyvulgar

Bio page: franklyvulgar
Joined: Sep 11, 2006
Last login: Apr 11, 2025
Total posts: 29,697 (22 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Here's how the CCG shakes out in every possible scenario. BYU still has a good

zuko

11/23/24 10:40pm

Today was pretty bad for Colorado.

11/23/24 10:42pm

so BYU still has the highest probability of making it out of any teams in the

franklyvulgar

11/23/24 10:42pm

I actually think we’re gonna fall bass aackwards into the game I really do

DanSmith

11/23/24 10:44pm

oh please do.. so asu rematch? go 2 minute the entire game arod if so

franklyvulgar

11/23/24 10:44pm

2 minute only works when the opponent plays prevent D

ochobeeguy

11/23/24 10:52pm

the ball control run out clock and punt hasn't generated much besides the 3rd

franklyvulgar

11/23/24 10:53pm

I don't disagree.

ochobeeguy

11/23/24 10:57pm

Should probabilities add to more than 100%?

Rexy Coug

11/23/24 10:53pm

Yes, because the scenarios overlap significantly. The graphs at the bottom

zuko

11/23/24 10:55pm

And two teams make it. So the numbers add up to 200%.

11/23/24 10:56pm

But the probabilities in top table…what do those mean…they are for matchups not

Rexy Coug

11/23/24 11:03pm

In the top table, the probability column lists the probability of each combo

zuko

11/24/24 7:36am

Does the asterick "*" mean that game result doesn't matter? So...

oilman

11/23/24 11:00pm

RE: Here's how the CCG shakes out in every possible scenario. BYU still has a

11/24/24 7:21am

What's amazing is that with one week to play, eight of the 16 teams in the

CougarScrub

11/24/24 11:21am

I think just 6

Tasty Bacon

11/24/24 11:57am

Nope, eight. Look at the last graph up above.

CougarScrub

11/24/24 7:14pm

So only ASU and ISU control their destiny. Everyone else needs someone to lose

11/24/24 2:43pm

Actually no, even ASU and ISU aren’t quite guaranteed a spot if they win

zuko

11/24/24 2:49pm

Are you sure? I don’t see any scenarios where one of them win and don’t make it

Rexy Coug

11/24/24 2:56pm

How is that? Every scenario above they are in with a W. What would the

11/24/24 2:57pm

Rows 13 and 15 have scenarios where ISU can win and not get in. Row 20 for ASU

zuko

11/24/24 3:11pm

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