Other than CU, they likely looked that against all their losses as well. Cincy may indeed prove better than BYU

Oct 24, 2024
11:34:24am

SinkingQuffa Intervention Needed

but I don't think there's good reason to presume yet that they ARE better than BYU.

Yet picking UCF at home over BYU is essentially saying that one-loss Cincinnati > BYU. Even though Cincy's schedule (while pretty good) hasn't been as hard as ours.

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Oct 24, 2024 at 11:34:24am

Message modified by SinkingQuffa on Oct 24, 2024 at 11:35:14am

Message modified by SinkingQuffa on Oct 24, 2024 at 11:36:48am

Message modified by SinkingQuffa on Oct 24, 2024 at 12:59:48pm

Message modified by SinkingQuffa on Oct 24, 2024 at 1:02:15pm

Report problem with this ad

SinkingQuffa

Previous username: 5thNephi
Bio page: SinkingQuffa
Joined: Apr 29, 2020
Last login: Oct 24, 2024
Total posts: 36,234 (81 FO)

Report problem with this ad

Messages

Author

Time

#22 ranked SMU is on the road this week playing at 6-1 Duke. The point spread on

Six Foot Seven

Oct 23, 10:22pm

mainly that due to BYU affiliation with the LDS church not a lot of money is bet on BYU

crimedog

Oct 23, 10:23pm

Yep, BYU gets very little in the way of fan betting. Also, none of the sportsbook apps are legal in the state

Adrielle

Oct 23, 10:26pm

RE: Yep, BYU gets very little in the way of fan betting. Also, none of the

Dark Forest Green

Oct 23, 10:49pm

if this wasn’t the case, there wouldn’t be a discrepancy and we wouldn’t be

HeyU

7:24am

are you thinking the only people that would bet on BYU are BYU fans and members?

TheRowdy

Oct 23, 10:28pm

It’s doesn’t have to affect 100% of the bets to affect the line…

chilawcoug

Oct 23, 10:31pm

This should be easily verifiable. Does BYU beat the spread more than the average

zuko

Oct 23, 10:36pm

Agreed. And I’m not sure the answer. Just responding to the idea that the line

chilawcoug

Oct 23, 10:39pm

But here is the deal, if it were biased at all for whatever reason, professional

Ozymandias

Oct 23, 11:49pm

this is better said than I did.

TheRowdy

Oct 23, 11:51pm

The fact that we are having this convo proves that fan bets make a difference

HeyU

7:35am

Having a conversation proves nothing.

Ozymandias

9:27am

Would we have a convo if people didn’t think there were discrepancies?

HeyU

9:38am

lol. People think the earth is flat. Doesn’t mean the earth is flat.

Ozymandias

9:40am

Yes and people think the markets are always efficient (24/7), lol

HeyU

9:52am

If you think it’s inefficient, you’d be a fool not to put your money where your

Ozymandias

11:22am

Principles my friend more to life than $ hence this entire convo re: Y creates

HeyU

11:59am

Haha. Sure man. If you are so certain the bias has created an inefficiency, it

Ozymandias

12:32pm

It's a lot more complicated than just looking at betting totals.

chilawcoug

8:56am

The answer is that BYU beats the spread about 50% of the time like everyone else

XXL

1:28am

Classic CB

chilawcoug

8:51am

But 6 of 7 times this year…

CaughtForaTouchdown

9:49am

Since 2003. BYU covers the spread 52.4% of the time. Utah covers it 57% of

Powerbait DPM

9:13am

haha i'm a hack

Powerbait DPM

9:14am

The heavy bettors do it for money if BYU was getting an abnormal line in their

ekiben

Oct 23, 10:39pm

Stupid take. Most betting action on a given game isn't from fans of either team.

XXL

1:06am

Not a stupid take a lot of fans bet for their team even if not a majority, it

HeyU

7:27am

RE: #22 ranked SMU is on the road this week playing at 6-1 Duke. The point

Borg

Oct 23, 10:26pm

SMU scores a lot of points. Duke doesn’t.

bluesloth

Oct 23, 10:26pm

BYU almost lost to a bad team. UCF almost beat a good team.

The 435

Oct 23, 10:33pm

And, ISU almost lost to a bad team. OSU almost beat a good team.

RebelScum

Oct 23, 10:43pm

Somehow the line between good and bad is very thin. OSU and UCF are very close

DCCougFan

4:32am

Still, favoring a team with 4 straight losses over unbeaten, Top-15 team — it frankly seems weird. No way around it.

SinkingQuffa

10:07am

They undeceivingly look more athletic.

Q-grr

11:29am

Other than CU, they likely looked that against all their losses as well. Cincy may indeed prove better than BYU

SinkingQuffa

11:34am

A lot of factors both ways on that. At the end of the day the spread is very bizarre. UCF has not proven it can win.

SinkingQuffa

7:07am

FPI implies a 13 point spread at a neutral site

Indy Coug

Oct 23, 10:34pm

There's a perception that BYUs offense can't score consistently

MaximusMeridius

Oct 23, 10:57pm

And now some doubt about the defense after last week’s clunker.

Lifer

5:21am

Because the guys in Vegas saw how our defense played last week and that we should’ve lost that game

KYU

Oct 23, 10:59pm

And they ignored how our offense stepped up and looked great

MaximusMeridius

Oct 23, 11:42pm

That was one drive. Vegas isn’t emotional. Our O hasn’t been great.

KYU

7:46am

Guess you missed the rest of the second half

puntersarepeople

8:02am

Insane we scored 38 points off one drive

MaximusMeridius

9:01am

Who cares. Just win and it doesn’t matter at all.

ballen

Oct 23, 11:05pm

If you look at FEI, UCF (#38) is a better team than Duke (#63). FEI predicts

wjman11

Oct 23, 11:10pm

Even with the news that RJ Maryland is out for the season with a knee.

keithcoug

12:02am

I amazed why anyone cares. Do we seek out reasons to be offended?

Michicoug

3:53am

Guys, who cares? If you really believe we’re undervalued, go place a bet

zerome4sooners

4:30am

With BYU in the Big 12 this means very little…in fact…its awesome that this team finds a way to win each week.

Cthack1

5:17am

Maybe because we squeaked out a win vs OKst where we were 9 point favorites. And

Magneto

5:54am

Then just put your money where your mouth is and place a large bet on BYU. Let

coolblue

6:59am

The east coast travel is real

palangi

8:11am

We need to get this Science Fiction thing figured out. We need another portal

Q-grr

11:34am

I love the disrespect. Stay hungry Cougs!

LateToTheGame

8:41am

Well let's root for SMU and prove Vegas wrong.

Penske Material

8:44am

I think BYU is ranked more on its record than potential; on potential I think

Posting on CougarBoard