Note that he thinks Utah has to be 11-1 for consideration of an at large spot
Personally I'm operating under the assumption that no 10-2 Big 12 team is getting an at large spot.
There's three possibilities after finishing 10-2
1. Win the CCG. In the playoffs, but not as an at-large
2. Lose the CCG. With the strength of the SEC and top B1G teams, I think 3 losses is too many
3. Don't play in the CCG. This is the best chance and would have to be a scenario where you lost out on a weird tiebreak. If you were the clear #3 in conference, then I don't think you make the cut for an at large spot