I don't know about that. Their RPI is decent by virtue of their highly ranked opponents, but an important criteria is also wins over top 40 programs. Between injuries/sickness and inconsistent performance, we really dropped the ball. Defintely could have racked up some more wins. I'd say an at-large bid is out of sight unless they turn things around immediately and steamroll the Big 12, including must wins against teams like TCU and Texas Tech. No more bad ties and losses. The margin for error is incredibly slim now. And the tournament is such a crapshoot.
I'm hoping for the best. There is time, but not much.