Your criticism is about Utah hype with Rising as the QB. Yet there are only 2 games here where he started / finished.
Loss on the last play at UF and a blowout win over SDSU.
I don't think anyone in the Big 12 has similar talent / tough atmosphere to UF and all have markedly superior talent to SDSU.
Ok State is at that level, but I think we all mark that down as a Utah loss (even though Utah is favored by 1.5)
What we do know is that Utah has consistently beaten the half they will see every year — and the other half that is most similar to B12 competition.
9-1 vs. BYU, 11-1 vs. CU, 5-1 vs. AZ, 4-0 vs. ASU. And Utah has been less effective but highly successful against the rest of the pac-12 that seems comparable to Big 12 — USC 4-0, UCLA 5-1, similar against Cal/WSU and Oregon State.
With QB1 most of the game, Utah's losses have been against ranked teams on the road or top 10 neutral / RES.
Ok State is the only that fits that description on the current schedule. I see Utah dropping another game or two. But overall, 7-2 is most likely...and that should be good enough to get to the CCG.