10:30:35pm
An * means that the result of that game doesn't impact the CCG participants. Probabilities are based on current ESPN FPI Win % (not updated yet from today's games)
EDIT: Reordered from most to least likely.
Also note that sometimes different scenarios give the same CCG participants, but are still listed separately just due to how unique the paths are. This means you can't look at the very bottom and say ASU/K State only has a 0.04% chance, unless you look for the other places ASU/K-State is also listed
|
ASU/Arizona |
IowaSt/ K State Winner |
BYU/Houston |
Colorado/Okla St Winner | Baylor/Kansas Winner | TCU/Cincy Winner | TTU/WVU Winner | Utah/UCF Winner | Probability | CCG Participants |
| ASU | Iowa St | * | * | * | * | * | * | 40.81% |
ASU |
| ASU | K State | BYU | * | * | * | * | * | 25.77% |
ASU |
| Arizona | Iowa St | BYU | * | * | * | * | * | 14.70% |
Iowa St |
| Arizona | K State | BYU | Colorado | * | * | * | * | 8.90% |
BYU |
| ASU | K State | Houston | Colorado | * | * | * | * | 3.33% |
ASU |
| Arizona | Iowa St | Houston | Colorado | * | * | * | * | 1.90% |
Iowa St |
| Arizona | K State | BYU | Oklahoma St | Kansas | * | * | * | 0.88% |
BYU |
| Arizona | KState | Houston | Colorado | Baylor | TCU | * | * | 0.78% |
Colorado |
| Arizona | K State | Houston | Colorado | Kansas | * | * | * | 0.67% |
Colorado |
| Arizona | K State | BYU | Oklahoma St | Baylor | TCU | * | * | 0.44% |
BYU |
| ASU | K State | Houston | Oklahoma St | Kansas | * | * | * | 0.33% |
ASU |
| Arizona | K State | BYU | Oklahoma St | Baylor | Cincy | Texas Tech | * | 0.31% |
BYU |
| Arizona | K State | Houston | Colorado | Baylor | Cincy | Texas Tech | * | 0.23% |
Colorado |
| Arizona | K State | BYU | Oklahoma St | Baylor | Cincy | West Virginia | * | 0.21% |
BYU |
| Arizona | Iowa St | Houston | Oklahoma St | Baylor | * | * | * | 0.20% |
Iowa St |
| ASU | K State | Houston | Oklahoma St | Baylor | Cincy | * | * |
0.19% |
ASU |
| ASU | K State | Houston | Oklahoma St | Baylor | TCU | * | * | 0.16% |
ASU |
| Arizona | K State | Houston | Colorado | Baylor | Cincy | West Virginia | * | 0.16% |
Colorado |
| Arizona | K State | Houston | Oklahoma St | Baylor | * | * | * | 0.15% |
Baylor |
| Arizona | Iowa St | Houston | Oklahoma St | Kansas | * | Texas Tech | * | 0.11% |
Iowa St |
| Arizona | K State | Houston | Oklahoma St | Kansas | * | Texas Tech | * | 0.08% |
Kansas St |
| Arizona | Iowa St | Houston | Oklahoma St | Kansas | TCU | West Virginia | * | 0.04% |
Iowa St |
| Arizona | Iowa St | Houston | Oklahoma St | Kansas | Cincy | West Virginia | * | 0.04% |
Iowa St |
| Arizona | K State | Houston | Oklahoma St | Baylor | TCU | Texas Tech | * | 0.04% |
Baylor |
| Arizona | K State | Houston | Oklahoma St | Kansas | TCU | West Virginia | * | 0.03% |
Kansas St |
| Arizona | K State | Houston | Oklahoma St | Kansas | Cincy | West Virginia | * | 0.03% |
Kansas St |
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