Teams drop 2 or 3 spots when they lose the CCG.

So we need to get up to #9 pre-CCG to be safe. Which means passing 5 teams.

SMU and Boise St are teams we could pass without a loss.

Based on precedent from last week, we wouldn't pass Oregon, Ohio St, Texas, Penn St, or Indiana even if those teams took a loss

That means our path to the playoff is

1 Win the CCG

OR

2. Rely on at least 3 of Notre Dame, Alabama, Miami, Ole Miss, Tennessee and Georgia losing a game in the next two weeks