In order of %chance of winning...

Two comfortable wins...
Houston (85% chance of win)
Arizona (75% chance of win)

Three closer wins...
Kansas (58% chance of win)
@AZ State (53% chance of win)
@Baylor (52% chance of win)

And 3 losses...
OK State (43% chance of win)
@Utah (35% chance of win)
@UCF (26% chance of win)

We get to 8-4 by winning home games against Houston, AZ, and Kansas and beating either AZ State or Baylor on the road. I think that's a reasonable outcome based on what we've seen so far - and something I wouldn't have thought remotely possible before the season started.