Anyone who is concerned we're out at 12-1 is worrying for the sake of worrying
13-0: BYU is the undefeated conference champ and is in as the #3 seed, with some small chance of being the #2 seed with the right upsets
12-1 (loss in regular season, wins CCG): BYU gets an autobid, almost certainly the #4 spot, but possibly #3
12-1 (loss in CCG): BYU will no longer get an autobid or top 4, but is still in. Given the top SEC, B1G, and Notre Dame teams, we're probably the #9 seed or so, but a possibility to host a playoff game shouldn't be ruled out
11-2 (both losses in regular season, wins CCG): Still get an autobid, #4 seed is likely but an outside chance we could be bumped by Boise St and end up around #9 or so.
11-2 (one regular season loss + loss in CCG): Right on the edge of the playoff - depends a lot on how other teams finish and any upsets, but a true bubble team
10-3 (3 losses in regular season, win CCG): This is ....unlikely, both that we would lose all three remaining games and also that we get into the CCG if we do so. In this case, we're still in via autobid, but quite likely the #12 seed
10-3 (2 losses in regular season + loss in CCG): Definitely not in the playoff
9-3 (losing all 3 remaining regular season games, not making CCG): Definitely not in the playoff
9-4 (losing all 3 remaining regular season games, somehow still make the CCG and then lose there as well): Definitely not in the playoff