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Mar 2, 2015
10:27:14am
Ran through Lunardi's Bracketology...
I thought it was interesting that prior to our win over the weekend, all the talking heads said that BYU looks like a tourney team but lacks a signature win to hang their hat on. Now that BYU does have that signature win, we're still on the edge of the bubble. Lunardi, for instance, has us in as the last of the Last 4 In; literally the last team to get into the tourney, and we'd have a play in game at that.

I looked through the resumes of some of the other teams to see if that was a fair assessment, and I think for the most part it is. Boise winning hurt us, not because they get an at large bid over us, but because Lunardi has them getting the MWC autobid. Hopefully they get knocked out in the tourney and SDSU takes the conference title, because that will clear up an at large spot. VCU and Dayton in the A-10 conference are also screwing us, because VCU has the resume to get an at large, but they're currently sitting at 4th in their conference.

All that being said, I think there are legitimate arguments that BYU should be getting a bye over NC State and Temple. In both instances we have a higher RPI, a better W/L record, better road W/L record, and several other metric. For NC State, their 2-7 record against RPI 51-100 teams should be a killer (BYU is 3-2 against the same range). And with Temple, Temple only has 5 wins that are squarely within RPI top 100, three wins are on the top 100 bubble (high 90's), and a huge drop off to their other wins in RPI 150+ range. They've got a decent SOS, but they've lost nearly every game that bumped their SOS up.

It will be interesting in the coming weeks to see what happens. However, if BYU gets to the WCC championship game and doesn't get into the big dance, we deserve to get in.
bluebloodedcoug
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bluebloodedcoug
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