Alright, here’s my best guess for BYU men’s basketball seed in the NCAA Tournament, based on the data available as of March 16, 2025, at 12:12 PM PDT, and the bracket reveal happening later today.

BYU finished the season at 23-8 overall, with a 10-8 Big 12 record.
They secured a 4-seed in the Big 12 Tournament, earning a double bye, and went 1-1 there—beating Iowa State (96-92) in the quarterfinals but falling to Houston (74-54) in the semifinals.
Their resume is solid: NET ranking around 24, KenPom at 26, and a 7-6 Quad 1 record, including wins over Iowa State (twice), Kansas, and Baylor.
They’ve been on a tear lately, winning 9 of their last 11 before the Houston loss.
Bracketology projections have been consistent.
The Bracket Matrix, averaging 102 brackets as of this morning, pegs BYU at a 6.07 seed, with a high of 4 and a low of 8.

Most experts, like ESPN’s Joe Lunardi, have them as a 5-seed in recent updates, though some dip to a 6 or 7.
Last year, BYU was the 17th overall seed (top 5-seed territory) but got a 6-seed due to their “no Sunday play” policy, which forces the committee to slot them into Thursday/Saturday games.
That precedent matters.

Given their metrics and performance, BYU deserves a 5-seed—likely 17th to 20th overall. The Big 12 is stacked, and their wins stack up well against other 5-seed contenders like Gonzaga or San Diego State.

But the Sunday rule could bump them again. If the committee needs to adjust for scheduling, a 6-seed is the safer bet, especially with the bracket’s top 16 seeds often locked into specific days.

Best Guess: 6-seed.
I’d lean 5 based purely on resume, but history and logistics tilt it to 6.

They’ll probably land in a Thursday/Saturday pod—maybe Denver or Omaha again—facing an 11-seed like a mid-major tourney champ or a bubble team. We’ll see in a few hours!