Here's a counterintuitive "who to cheer for" on Saturday --> Iowa State

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Nov 26, 2024
2:16:34pm

Greg4BYU All-American

Here's a counterintuitive "who to cheer for" on Saturday --> Iowa State

IF
Colorado loses to OKState (probably not going to happen)
AND
Arizona beats ASU in their rivalry game
AND
Kansas beats Baylor
AND
Texas Tech beats WVU
THEN
We should be cheering for Iowa State to beat Kansas State in Farmageddon RIGHT before our game!
BECAUSE
Those 5 outcomes above would clinch a BYU berth in the CCG win or lose to Houston

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Nov 26, 2024 at 2:16:34pm

Message modified by Greg4BYU on Nov 26, 2024 at 2:17:00pm

Message modified by Greg4BYU on Nov 26, 2024 at 2:17:49pm

Message modified by Greg4BYU on Nov 26, 2024 at 5:09:06pm

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Greg4BYU

Bio page: Greg4BYU
Joined: Jan 14, 2003
Last login: Nov 26, 2024
Total posts: 1,762 (31 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Flowchart for this weekend’s chaos.

snowbird

4:22am

Texas Tech v Baylor would be peak chaos

NGB

4:57am

This should be stickied for Saturday

Mike Honcho

5:53am

Where’s the most dominant team in the Big12. U Must be on the SEC or B1G chart?

cypresstx

6:29am

I like to think of it this way... as long as ISU or ASU loses, destiny is in

tony

6:34am

add Colorado to that scenario; if the Buffs lose, we control our own destiny

rotorhead

8:59am

Buffs don't affect us getting in, just who we might play.

tony

9:08am

CU losing increases the motivation of KState to upset Iowa State, as KState

snowbird

9:25am

excellent point

Hill4Heisman

4:26pm

Yes, it's way more simple: BYU needs to win and ASU or ISU needs to lose

Brandoblueblood

9:06am

So let me get this straight: regardless of what happens with ISU and ASU,

Refugee

9:25am

By my count, there are 18 different match up possibilities for the CCG

downtownchrisbrown

9:48am

Looks like no scenario where ASU and ISU win and BYU gets in?

insanobueno

9:53am

Correct. We lose all those 2-loss tiebreakers with those two involved.

Yukon

9:54am

Like B12 CCG Pachinco.

PJMort

10:09am

My head hurts

Burton162

10:37am

The best thing about this, is the graphic that is not even there.

SFarkus

11:09am

Seems it would be simpler to start with the ASU game (since they are in the driver's seat), then ISU, then BYU, etc.

unctoothman

11:19am

The games are in chronological order top to bottom

11:21am

Well that works then.

unctoothman

12:00pm

This feels unnecessarily complex

ballen

11:55am

It's in chronological order, so you just follow each game one at a time. Genius.

momowagon

2:10pm

My take away, There’s not even a 1 in a million chance if BYU loses to Houston

the nino

12:10pm

Nope, there's 1 - on the left side

12:26pm

Nope, not seeing it.…

Refugee

12:44pm

There's a line that goes down from the 3rd Iowa State logo. In that case, the

12:57pm

RE: There's a line that goes down from the 3rd Iowa State logo. In that case,

momowagon

2:08pm

Ah from the 2nd row, got it. Thanks! So there is a Lloyd Christmas chance!

the nino

4:34pm

I did the math, according to FPI game win %, it is actually 1/116 odds that

the nino

4:54pm

We’d still want to win. Why tempt the Committee to rank Tulane/Army

Yukon

5:15pm

Got it!! That is nuts!!

Refugee

5:11pm

Here's a counterintuitive "who to cheer for" on Saturday --> Iowa State

Greg4BYU

2:16pm

I ran the parlay on this scenario and it pays out 48 times whatever you bet.

momowagon

2:22pm

How does a team with 4 loses get in before the other 3 teams with at most 3?

cypresstx

2:57pm

Are you looking at conference losses only?

Yukon

4:37pm

Yea, ASU or ISU need to lose and BYU needs to win, but I just printed this chart

Refugee

5:14pm

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