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Nov 13, 2024
4:56:34pm
Doogal McCougar All-American
We will need to play well. But, when we play well, we will win.
I've watched most of Kansas' games this year. There have been gut-wrenching losses...but there's a pattern.

Illinois drove 80 yards to come from behind and score a 4th quarter touchdown and then added a late field goal to win by 6 points.

UNLV drove 75 yards to come from behind and score a 4th quarter touchdown with 2 minutes left...to win by 3 points.

West Virginia 75 yards and then 67 yards to score two 4th quarter touchdowns to come from behind, the last TD with like 30 seconds left...to win by 4 points.

ASU drove 75 yards to come from behind and score a touchdown with less than 30 second left...to win by 4 points.

Kansas State came from behind and kicked a game-winning field goal with less than 1 minute left...to win by 2 points.

That's a pattern and good teams are consistently executing long 4th-quarter scoring drives and beating Kansas. The recent outliers are Houston and Iowa State.

* Kansas blew out Houston - like UNLV and Cincinnati and Iowa State before them - before Houston switched quarterbacks. Kansas beat Iowa State in a shootout. Iowa State is dealing with injuries and played lots of younger guys against Kansas (and Texas Tech).

Likewise, the outliers I see in Daniels' 2024 performance are Houston and ISU. Daniels averaged 270 passing yards, 63 rushing yards, and had 5 TD and no interceptions and wasn't sacked once against either defense. But, against Kansas State - just 2 weeks ago, in between Houston and Iowa State, Daniels looked like he did against TCU and WVU and UNLV and Illinois, where you can expect around or less than 200 yards passing, a sack or two, and as many INTs and TDs.

Likewise, RB Neal's best games were against Houston and Iowa State - he averaged 6.4 yards per carry and had 2 TDs in each game. His longest run of the season was against Houston. But, against Kansas State, Neal looked like he did earlier in the season against TCU, and WVU, and UNLV, and Illinois...where you can expect 4-5 yards per carry, may be 1 TD, and limited big runs.

I expect BYU to play well and to keep Kansas and Daniels and Neal closer to their season averages and not their performances against Houston and Iowa State. Kansas will need Daniels and Neal to play like they did against Houston and Iowa State to compete with BYU, but I don't see it.
Doogal McCougar
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Doogal McCougar
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Nov 22, 2024
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