It helps KSU that they only have 3 games left and are heavy favorites in 2

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Nov 3, 2024
4:19:00pm

zuko All-American

Unfortunately I don't have a way to predict win probabilities for individual games. I just use the win probabilities from the Massey Ratings website. I don't know how accurate they are.

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zuko

Previous username: ThetaSigma
Bio page: zuko
Joined: Aug 4, 2015
Last login: Nov 4, 2024
Total posts: 3,314 (14 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Weekly B12 Simulations Update. We won the bye week

zuko

Nov 3, 3:46pm

Utah at 0.0% chance is still too high

BYUFam1

Nov 3, 3:52pm

Run a billion simulations

NYCougz

Nov 3, 3:53pm

I would think CU would have a better shot. That game at TT is huge.

NYCougz

Nov 3, 3:52pm

Colorado's odds go up to 24.6% if they win this weekend

zuko

Nov 3, 4:12pm

1 loss CO is 1/3 as likely to make it as a 2 loss KSU?

WizeGuise

Nov 3, 3:56pm

Colorado appears to have a 90% chance of making it if they win out, just not

BYUFootballisBack

Nov 3, 3:58pm

KSU 30% chance to win out, Colorado 4% apparently

BYUFootballisBack

Nov 3, 4:01pm

4% can’t be right

NYCougz

Nov 3, 4:02pm

Colorado is favored this weekend, which might be their toughest game.

NYCougz

Nov 3, 4:07pm

The Massey Ratings website is what I base my simulations on. TTech is favored

zuko

Nov 3, 4:10pm

How can KSU be almost three times as likely to make it as CU?

WizeGuise

Nov 3, 4:12pm

Because KSU is 7 times more likely to win out

zuko

Nov 3, 4:14pm

Really? That would explain it. But I would check those numbers.

WizeGuise

Nov 3, 4:15pm

It helps KSU that they only have 3 games left and are heavy favorites in 2

zuko

Nov 3, 4:19pm

I see. That doesn’t sound right unless CU was a huge dog in a game on their

WizeGuise

Nov 3, 4:29pm

CU has all winnable games left. 4 percent doesn’t seem right to me.

NYCougz

Nov 3, 4:19pm

Utah fans right now

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