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Sep 23, 2024
4:16
:55
pm
RenoCoug
All-American
But there isn’t
If Vegas picked just based on who they think will win, they would lose money. Lines are initially set based on expected betting and then move as money comes in. Vegas wants a 50/50 split on the money as often as they can. Then they keep more money.
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RenoCoug
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RenoCoug
Joined
Feb 15, 2005
Last login
Sep 23, 2024
Total posts
7,114 (94 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
After 4 games, Vegas hasn't been right about BYU yet...Baylor 3 point favs.
BYUgoslav
Redshirt Freshman
4:06pm
Again, Vegas does not set the line based on who they expect to win. They set it based on how they think people will bet.
ManicBlue
4:09pm
There's obviously a big correlation
JuicyJam
4:12pm
Not really ... the correlation is that not many BYU fans bet on their team.
ManicBlue
4:14pm
But if I were a degenerate gambler and saw that BYU was beating the spread by an average of 14+ points, I’d put my money
touchdownbyu
4:16pm
Of course, that's who Vegas is trying to entice to bet on BYU. You should place a bet then. 😛
ManicBlue
4:18pm
I only hedge my happiness at this point.
touchdownbyu
4:42pm
But there isn’t
RenoCoug
4:16pm
RE: But there isn’t
ManicBlue
4:20pm
Of course there is. If they were from disconnected expectations then early,
JuicyJam
4:35pm
Regardless, I think we play much better with a chip on our shoulder...
BYUgoslav
4:13pm
And how people do bet
WallaX2
4:52pm
I am glad BYU is the underdog. Play with focus and a chip on the shoulder.
Dan
4:25pm
We have to prove it wasn't a fluke.
Plantagenet
4:49pm
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