SIU seems decent and BYU just wasn't at the end of last year and BYU has been playing down to the perceived level of their competition or simply not showing up for years.

Wyoming played hard two years ago in Provo and gave BYU a battle. It seems that BYU has regressed the past two years and this is going to be a very big game in Laramie for the Pokes.

BYU is also favored right now against Houston but the BYU Cougars could be playing their 3rd stringers by then or have simply quit and given up on the season.

For upsets, I think BYU will at least be relatively healthy, well-prepared and motivated against SMU who may be a bit overconfident. I'm also not completely sold on Kansas especially in Provo. BYU is technically an underdog against ASU but they one seems like more a toss-up match up to me. If Baylor doesn't improve that one seems to be winnable as well. And injuries (like Texas Tech last year) or someone completely looking past BYU (like Oklahoma or Oklahoma State) could help the Cougars still another game or two.