Win 2/2 - Home games that should be winnable, but who knows what Houston or BYU look like after Thanksgiving.
Southern Illinois 89.7
Houston 62.6

Win 2/3 - Winnable road games. Playing Arizona State really late has similar questions to Houston. What kind of shape is either team in at that point?
at Wyoming 60.9
at ASU 42.4
at Baylor 34

Win 2/7 - Pull two upsets, probably at home. Lot's of chances here, but the percentages don't look good. A lot of tough games.
Arizona 33.8
Oklahoma State 30.2
K-State 27.9
Kansas 27.5
at Utah 24
at UCF 22.7
at SMU 19.7