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Mar 31, 2020
7:53
:05
pm
Mike Honcho
Truly Addicted User
*the first identified and confirmed case that China has announced was in mid-November
If 50% are asymptomatic or only mild symptoms, they probably wouldn’t have sought out medical care.
This message has been modified
Originally posted on Mar 31, 2020 at 7:53:05pm
Message modified by Mike Honcho on Mar 31, 2020 at 7:53:38pm
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Mike Honcho
Previous username
BYUCoug11
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Mike Honcho
Joined
Feb 27, 2011
Last login
Sep 27, 2024
Total posts
55,157 (10,519 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
The California paradox
Busiturtle
3/31/20 5:19pm
If that’s true and it already worked it’s way through California for months
cougarfann888
3/31/20 5:22pm
Then why haven't we had NY numbers? Where are all the deaths?
SanDiegoCoug
3/31/20 5:40pm
I’ve been saying this all along. The virus was here in CA LONG before January. I suspect it’s run it’s course through a
Mike Honcho
3/31/20 5:23pm
Why no hospitalizations?
Josef K
3/31/20 5:37pm
This. There would have been A LOT of hospitalizations. And someone would have
jkccoug
3/31/20 5:39pm
By many accounts there were more hospitalizations, but it was just attributed to a “worse than normal flu season”
Mike Honcho
3/31/20 5:49pm
Do you have data to show higher than normal hospitalizations in CA for December,
Josef K
3/31/20 5:59pm
Best I could find, from the last week of 2019. Hospitalizations higher than expected levels, and only 28% flu positive
Mike Honcho
3/31/20 6:17pm
<< Deleted >>
Mike Honcho
3/31/20 6:23pm
California, with the best infectious disease med school in the country and with
Josef K
3/31/20 6:32pm
I don’t know, and I never claimed to have it all figured out. Just showing you the higher than normal hospitalizations
Mike Honcho
3/31/20 6:46pm
Patient zero was mid to late November in China BTW.
jkccoug
3/31/20 7:13pm
*the first identified and confirmed case that China has announced was in mid-November
Mike Honcho
3/31/20 7:53pm
No I think that was an estimate based on the data
jkccoug
3/31/20 7:54pm
It’s more than an estimate, but they don’t know if that person was the true “patient 0”
Mike Honcho
3/31/20 7:59pm
So it’s impossible that a disease present as early as November never made it
BYU '80
3/31/20 8:19pm
We heard the same rumor here in WA last week. There were a couple of units activated, but it was just for
lightmann
3/31/20 5:23pm
We "herd" ...
PJMort
3/31/20 5:26pm
RE: We "herd" ...
squidmark
3/31/20 5:36pm
Serological testing needed ASAP!
PJMort
3/31/20 5:25pm
This. Unfortunately, we have known for at least two monthsCovid was
UpperCirqueUte
3/31/20 5:33pm
It means social distancing is working. SF is a ghost town.
Josef K
3/31/20 5:33pm
Not enough data to conclude that.
Thrill
3/31/20 5:37pm
And there’s data to conclude that everyone is immune because they had it for
Josef K
3/31/20 5:41pm
The data is that I live in SF, and it's a ghost town.
ReyOso
3/31/20 6:19pm
Occam's Razor
Mitty
3/31/20 8:54pm
I live in OC and it’s not a ghost town. Farmers market over the weekend,
Thrill
3/31/20 10:27pm
The article points out the Costco's are still packed
Busiturtle
3/31/20 5:44pm
Look for yourself
Josef K
3/31/20 5:46pm
Here are some live views
Josef K
3/31/20 5:48pm
What about San Jose? And Oakland? And Sacramento?
Busiturtle
3/31/20 5:52pm
Santa Clara county was the second COVID cluster in the US. It’s avoided a major
Josef K
3/31/20 6:03pm
This is true. We've been Costco a few times over the last few weeks and they've
UNLVcougar
3/31/20 6:16pm
The grocery store is not a good litmus test of social distancing
Josef K
3/31/20 6:18pm
And we have all learned you’re never wrong
BYU '80
3/31/20 8:22pm
Social distancing makes people feel good but probably has
kotacoug
3/31/20 6:31pm
Wrong.
ReyOso
3/31/20 6:58pm
According to this site CA is just starting to hit their curve.
Malathion
3/31/20 6:18pm
Chart shows Cali with 500+ deaths today. They had 27. Missed it by a LOT
ALUF 1990
3/31/20 6:59pm
It shows 27 when I look at CA. Where did you learn to read?
Malathion
3/31/20 7:06pm
He’s too busy being upset with Trump.
kotacoug
3/31/20 8:23pm
According to the governor, CA was supposed to be the apocalypse.
UNLVcougar
3/31/20 6:22pm
Well 726 deaths and counting in the US today
coolcats
3/31/20 7:08pm
He is probably the happiest man in the world knowing he has been wrong so far!
Zoobieman
3/31/20 7:47pm
Could be. Or they are counting the numbers different than everyone else.
CougarMandias
3/31/20 7:50pm
More UV light kills the virus???
CarolinaCoug
3/31/20 9:21pm
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