Your probability analysis is assuming army blows out ND? Also, the rankings are subjectively determined by humans.

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Nov 14, 2024
8:08:26am

Byron McNertney Solid 6 (8 if you're drunk)

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Byron McNertney

Previous username: sonofchet
Bio page: Byron McNertney
Joined: Nov 24, 2006
Last login: Nov 14, 2024
Total posts: 58,051 (14,278 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Why is the format of the playoff so misunderstood?

NGB

7:32am

Seems like the pundits always say the champion of the p4 plus the highest g5

blueaussie

7:36am

Practically speaking, they do. The chance of 2 G5 conference champions being ranked above any P4 champ is almost 0.

Byron McNertney

7:37am

Undefeated Army has a good chance of being above the B12 champ

NGB

8:04am

Your probability analysis is assuming army blows out ND? Also, the rankings are subjectively determined by humans.

Byron McNertney

8:08am

Yes. If Army blows out Notre Dame, Colorado loses to Arizona St. and

cougarfan84

9:29am

Do they, though? There are 3 Big 12 teams ranked ahead of undefeated Army right

cougarfan84

9:24am

I'm not reading all that

NGB

11:12am

So you are basing it all on Army beating Notre Dame and ASU beating both BYU and

cougarfan84

11:41am

We're saying your math is off.

Byron McNertney

11:50am

My math? My math is that the number isn't 0. But ok

NGB

12:10pm

No, your math is that the number is "far more than 0". My response is simply

cougarfan84

12:40pm

Yes, theoretically, the entire 12 team field could be G5 teams. Technically possible in the current format.

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