CCG loss should absolutely not drop us 6+ spots

If we lose none and win CCG obviously in

If we lose 1 and win CCG obviously in

If we lose 2 only path is to make and win CCG we are probably in and steal a bid at #12 as 5th highest ranked conference champ (but would be ranked probably 15-20 I would guess), but there's a chance Army could be ranked higher, they would have to win out and beat Notre Dame which seems unlikely

If we lose 1 and then lose CCG I bet we are likely ranked ~15