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Nov 8, 2024
11:46:33am
ItsALoveHate Walk-on
Just to put an additional point of how much the team has overperformed
"expectations," our average KenPom finish over the last 10 years is 51. We had 3 seasons during those 10 where we finished in the KenPom Top 25 (2024, 2021, 2020). During that same 10-year window, our On3 average team recruiting ranking is 120 (yikes!) and our average on 247 is 124 (double-yikes!). The best year, of course, was 2016 with the LP3 when our recruiting rankings were 35 (On3) and 36 (247). The limitations of recruiting rankings are obvious but they do a reasonable job directionally and their correlation with win-loss record is actual rankings is not terrible. There's no doubt that the team has out-performed expectations from a talent perspective.

Will be interesting and fun to see how the team performs this year and over the next few seasons in relation to the talent that comes in. We haven't seen enough yet this year to know how we'll stack up against legit competition but my guess is that we end up somewhere in the 7-8 range in terms of B12 finish and likely pull the dreaded 5 seed in the Big Dance.
ItsALoveHate
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ItsALoveHate
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May 28, 2021
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Nov 21, 2024
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