Very likely at this point. We're sitting at 34 in the RPI and now have good wins over Wisconsin and Tech, both top 40 RPI teams, and a good tie with St. Louis. Plus our losses are also to teams very high in the RPI (including UCLA, Arkansas, TCU, and Utah State). Worst case scenario is we lose in second round to Oklahoma State, but we should still be in a good spot. Anything else is icing on the cake — potential chance for wins over Ok State, TCU, and Tech if all the seeded teams win out. Beating TCU could even get us in the talks to host a first round game which would be great. But I'm happy to just make it to both tournaments.
Chris Henderson is the guru on this and you can read his bubble report here —
https://medium.com/@kodiakexpress/2024-ncaa-bubble-watch-v3-0-0ccfc165153d
As of two days ago
"BYU is also in solid shape thanks to some creditable non-conference results, even if they lack the big league results that TTU has. A result at Texas Tech on Friday would all but lock things up. Like the Red Raiders, they’re playing mostly to lock down a seed and home game in the opening round of the NCAAs."
This guy always correctly predicts like 62-63 teams out of a field of 64. And the teams he gets wrong are those last couple edge cases that could go either way. BYU isn't one of the last teams to make it through.