Current probabilities (from NY Times) for BYU playoffs, Big 12 champs, & Natty

Oct 15, 2024
6:26:56pm

cougarmeister How does this work?

Would a team with a 19% chance of making the playoffs be considered a long-shot?

Playoffs = 19%
Big12 Champs = 13%
Home Playoff Game = 1%
Win it All = <1%

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Oct 15, 2024 at 6:26:56pm

Message modified by cougarmeister on Oct 15, 2024 at 7:51:49pm

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cougarmeister

Bio page: cougarmeister
Joined: Oct 8, 2007
Last login: Oct 16, 2024
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Messages

Author

Time

A couple Ute fans’ posts I wanted to bookmark:

RdF3 Inactive user

Oct 15, 12:38pm

Today I heard someone from the media saying Utah could easily go 6-0...

WJCougar

Oct 15, 12:41pm

I think Utah will most likely go 3-3 from here on out. 4-2 would be really good,

Jdoc

Oct 15, 12:42pm

They certainly could, but I wouldn't say easily. They need to start playing

RGGeemer

Oct 15, 12:49pm

Most their games are winnable but the margin for error is low.

NYCougz

Oct 15, 1:00pm

But Wilson wasn't good enough to put in when Cam sucked against ASU. Freshman QB

NYC and Japan

Oct 15, 1:41pm

Oh so suddenly the in-state game is kind of important?

Huge Manatee

Oct 15, 12:41pm

They act like no one else's defense can impact the game

CougarLucas

Oct 15, 12:43pm

When you fire OC after OC and a team rule is protect the D, fans learn D is only

NYC and Japan

Oct 15, 1:42pm

Didn’t SMU’s currently starting QB play the majority of snaps against BYU?

ldssdl

Oct 15, 12:46pm

He got nearly 90% of the snaps against us.

Six Foot Seven

Oct 15, 12:47pm

Yep, Stone was only on the field for 9 of their 90 total plays. He was 2/4 for

BamaCoug

Oct 15, 1:39pm

Yes. The other guy got 3 series I think.

RalphWiggam

Oct 15, 12:47pm

If you can call those 'series'

RGGeemer

Oct 15, 12:50pm

BYU basically ended the other QBs career at SMU

WJCougar

Oct 15, 6:25pm

Man, if they think BYU is lucky, I wonder what kind of scrutiny they give to

dYrtbYkerYder

Oct 15, 12:47pm

This is why, IMO the Utah game is so important:

gangbusters

Oct 15, 12:47pm

I don't disagree - the utah game is very important.

Mexicougazul

Oct 15, 12:49pm

Haha. Yes, very true, but at least it'll gnaw at their hides.

gangbusters

Oct 15, 12:51pm

It's heading that direction. Invited to the P5, Won in 2021, PAC12 blew up,

RGGeemer

Oct 15, 12:52pm

This year will help, but the scenario you lay out I agree will probably sill it

Mexicougazul

Oct 15, 12:54pm

They won't, it's not in their nature to shut up

CameronG

Oct 15, 12:59pm

RE: I don't disagree - the utah game is very important.

Socrates Johnson

Oct 15, 1:56pm

They’re already testing out their excuses - the team names are different but the

AlternateShot

Oct 15, 6:13pm

Nah. Even playing field now. Same conference. Better record. If we lose ppl

YOHONOMOTO

Oct 15, 3:14pm

Love ya too, utes

BlueFever

Oct 15, 12:49pm

I'm on CB way too much, and I don't see BYU fans saying we will easily beat UU

cougarmeister

Oct 15, 12:50pm

I believe BYU will finish 11-1 and be in the Big 12 Championship game. BYU has

Jdoc

Oct 15, 12:51pm

So once again we have UU fans blaming BYU fans for things UU fans do and say.

Mitty

Oct 15, 1:10pm

Been posting the same thing about UU on UU forums to counter your reverse jinxes

machete

Oct 15, 3:05pm

Long shot? I’d say we are more likely than most other teams at this point

YOHONOMOTO

Oct 15, 3:16pm

Current probabilities (from NY Times) for BYU playoffs, Big 12 champs, & Natty

cougarmeister

Oct 15, 6:26pm

20% is actually kind of crazy 😂

YOHONOMOTO

Oct 15, 10:32pm

BYU is making good/decent QBs look absolutely awful.. #1 pass efficiency defense

BYUFootballisBack

Oct 15, 12:52pm

Good old Matthute. Never change, homie!

Abe Froman

Oct 15, 12:54pm

Conveniently ignores our offense has been transformed since we played SMU and we

puntersarepeople

Oct 15, 1:02pm

Also ignores that Baylor had a QB change after the Utah game

Remigius

Oct 15, 1:08pm

Also ignores the fact that Baylor outperformed us in so many stats

TheRefsStink

Oct 15, 2:28pm

Bruce Mitchell did not play center vs Baylor - Sonny Makasini did

ElkhunterUT

Oct 15, 2:52pm

Good point. Still a backup center. Still affected the 2nd half offense.

TheRefsStink

Oct 15, 3:02pm

Also ignores that we didn't have many yards because we had short fields.

Brandoblueblood

Oct 15, 2:43pm

I was laughing at that original post over the weekend as well.

5150man

Oct 15, 1:44pm

To your point about Utah's luck:

TheRefsStink

Oct 15, 3:00pm

Agreed. Our D now seems prepared enough to get lucky.

5150man

Oct 15, 3:26pm

Based on these narratives, he probably describes Rising as Joe Montana vs. ASU.

cosmohio

Oct 15, 1:58pm

Some people don't understand football

guppy7bl

Oct 15, 2:06pm

Methute - boardname checks out, on multiple levels.

AF'er

Oct 15, 2:15pm

On SMU

RedSox

Oct 15, 2:24pm

BYU is playing excellent football. Utes should respect that and enjoy watching a tight conference battle. Utah

TFL

Oct 15, 3:44pm

This you? "Big 12 fans who expect Utah to perform the same as Cincy, BYU, UCF and UH did, are going to be surprised."

Atmospheric_Cougar

Oct 15, 6:44pm

Probably. Having a superstar QB going down changes perspectives. Utah is still 4-2. At this rate, they'll finish

TFL

Oct 15, 9:06pm

Which matches the best year you had with your 'superstar qb'

RGGeemer

Oct 15, 9:15pm

True...the key for him was beating two top 5 teams and then clobbering the in the CCG on national TV. TBH...

TFL

Oct 15, 9:18pm

Robbie Bosco did it

RGGeemer

Oct 15, 10:22pm

He also won the natty, by the way

RGGeemer

Oct 15, 10:28pm

There are some elements of the first comment that I don't necessarily disagree with.

TheLoneCougar

Oct 15, 4:20pm

The truth is if BYU won the NC these guys would post the same drivel the very next day

Knight-who-says-ni

Oct 15, 4:26pm

I love how the one guy talks about Kstate holding us to under 100

NonmormonYfan89

Oct 15, 4:35pm

Not to mention the fact that BYU's D gave short fields to BYU's O. Who needs

Abe Froman

Oct 15, 5:00pm

And a punt return td taking away a full other possession

BYUFootballisBack

Oct 15, 8:53pm

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