We’re playing Arizona UCF and Okie St.
Arizona is going to be a tough out.
BYU on paper is definitely better than Okie St but not so much that they can have an off game with turnovers and win. Even at home.
Traveling across the country to play is a pretty big disadvantage and UCF is not a pushover.
The odds are way in favor of BYU having a loss in at least one of these games.