Hmmm, looks like ESPN’s model had it just about even. Maybe it was a tad bit early and ok.

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Sep 30, 2024
8:43:32pm

TCuz Coastal Elite

Hmmm, looks like ESPN’s model had it just about even. Maybe it was a tad bit early and ok.

Down 9 is, counterintuitively, much less supported by WP.

In fact, in this scenario our model very very very slightly preferred PAT.

PAT: 14.9%
Go for 2: 14.8%

Breakeven was 49.5%, so either option is justifiable.

The down 8, when breakeven was 32.5% https://t.co/5LaMUvRBPo
— Seth Walder (@SethWalder) October 1, 2024

https://twitter.com/SethWalder/status/1840945130666074179

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TCuz

Previous username: TCuz13
Bio page: TCuz
Joined: Mar 1, 2014
Last login: Sep 30, 2024
Total posts: 61,795 (20,078 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Nooooo, Seahawks made the right decision going for 2 earlier and screw it up by kicking the PAT here. Dummies.

TCuz Coastal Elite

Sep 30, 8:37pm

Should’ve kicked it both times, they’d be down 7 now. Dumb.

BluePostum

Sep 30, 8:39pm

True, if you’re old and ignore analytics

Sep 30, 8:39pm

Or you prefer to, you know, have more points than you do now

BluePostum

Sep 30, 8:40pm

Right, by ignoring analytics. Link:

Sep 30, 8:41pm

Hmmm, looks like ESPN’s model had it just about even. Maybe it was a tad bit early and ok.

TCuz

Sep 30, 8:43pm

What the right call? No, sorry not the right call. You probably thought the

Sep 30, 8:47pm

It’s not 1950 anymore.

TCuz

Sep 30, 8:48pm

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