Start off Season strong, usually against a few weaker teams and some strong teams that may or may not be having off-years.
Flirt with top 25 and or get ranked in the 20s
Midseason has some close losses, and usually one blowout loss.
Lots of injuries.
Limps across to the end of the season, a few more losses and pulling out a good win or two at the end.
Bowl game.
Honestly, we beat OSU or OU last year, and the formula matches up still.