Looking at last year's schedule, on paper it looked like there were 3 easy wins (SHS, SUU, Cincy) and 1 really tough upsets (preseason #11 UT), two more ranked opponents (#17 TCU, and #20 OU), with 6 winnable games of varying difficulty (Ark, KU, Tech, WVU, ISU, OSU). Obviously these didn't all turn out exactly correct, with TCU much worse and OKST significantly better.

This year, there's 1 easy win (SIU) and the only preseason top 15 team is probably Utah (we don't know for sure yet, but I suspect it). There will probably be 2-4 more preseason ranked teams in the 16-25 range (some combination of OKST, Arizona, KU, and KSU) and then 6-8 unranked teams of varying levels of winnable (BU, UCF, SMU, WY, ASU, UH).

I don't expect BU, ASU, UH to be as bad as last time, although they might be. So only 1 easy win, 1 "Texas-level" game (I know, I know, but it's what the media thinks), and then 2-4 OU level games and 6-8 UCF level games.