Is they base it off known roster and performance. The defense will assuredly be significantly better than 84th, Hill is an exceptional defensive coach, this is the second year in his system, which is more complex than Tuaiki's was. He has also brought in more players that fit his scheme, none of which is usually considered by these ratings services.

That said, the offense is a big concern and until there is more depth added on the O-line and we bring in or develop a 'typical' BYU QB, we are middle of the pack. I think the ceiling is high though if these needs get addressed because the defense will continue to get better.