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Mar 26, 2020
2:24
:33
pm
Josef K
Intervention Needed
We can absolutely see the benefits of shutting down in the trends
I’m not arguing it’s worth the cost, just that it’s pretty clearly having an impact
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Josef K
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Josef K
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Jun 9, 2020
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Messages
Author
Time
So I took the time to read the latest release from Imperial College
coolcats
3/26/20 2:16pm
That's the trouble here. The efforts government went to trying to mitigate the
SandYFan
3/26/20 2:18pm
We can look to Sweden to know. They have taken few if any measures
CocaColaRecovery
3/26/20 2:21pm
Impossible to extrapolate a small country's experience to the US.
SandYFan
3/26/20 2:22pm
Is Italy considered small? Particularly Lombardy?
JohnnyComeLately
3/26/20 2:22pm
Yes. You'll note I've never said a thing about Italy.
SandYFan
3/26/20 2:23pm
I don’t follow you to know if that is true or not.
JohnnyComeLately
3/26/20 2:24pm
Of course they have. It's been impossible to miss.
SandYFan
3/26/20 2:26pm
Totally possible
CocaColaRecovery
3/26/20 2:26pm
Here's the problem I have - in line with what you're saying...
Eddie
3/26/20 2:23pm
The trouble is that mitigation works??
UpperCirqueUte
3/26/20 2:26pm
What are you thoughts on the Oxford analysis? Particularly this part:
boogers
3/26/20 2:21pm
Why is this expert to be trusted? Because they are saying what you believe?
SandYFan
3/26/20 2:21pm
ah...I asked the question first? Why do you want the Imperial Model to be
boogers
3/26/20 2:22pm
I don't. I'm very much on the fence here. You, on the other hand,
SandYFan
3/26/20 2:24pm
RE: I don't. I'm very much on the fence here. You, on the other hand,
boogers
3/26/20 2:26pm
You're on the fence? Anyone with an ounce of sanity should desperately want the
BYUMizzou
3/26/20 2:29pm
Why is what we want to be true even relevant here?
SandYFan
3/26/20 2:29pm
RE: Why is what we want to be true even relevant here?
BYUMizzou
3/26/20 2:33pm
<< Deleted >>
Abe Froman
3/26/20 2:33pm
Test as much as possible
coolcats
3/26/20 2:22pm
Maybe we should stop payment on the 2 trillion dollar check
Josef K
3/26/20 2:22pm
I would be ok with that. Lift the restrictions and get back to work.
kotacoug
3/26/20 2:25pm
Pretty convenient. I mean how can one argue?
JohnnyComeLately
3/26/20 2:22pm
We can absolutely see the benefits of shutting down in the trends
Josef K
3/26/20 2:24pm
Didn’t U.K. have the herd mentality only a week ago?
JohnnyComeLately
3/26/20 2:26pm
<< Deleted >>
Abe Froman
3/26/20 3:04pm
I mean, his assumptions were what was wrong in the first place,
CSoul
3/26/20 2:30pm
I mean I guess you decided not to read the content
coolcats
3/26/20 2:33pm
Yeah, now that I've read the study, the overreaction on this board seems silly.
chilango
3/26/20 2:44pm
<< Deleted >>
Abe Froman
3/26/20 3:35pm
Those are the numbers his original paper contained. For the UK, 500K deaths if
chilango
3/26/20 3:47pm
<< Deleted >>
Abe Froman
3/26/20 4:31pm
Can you provide a specific example of the "dramatic" reduction you mention?
chilango
3/26/20 4:46pm
<< Deleted >>
Abe Froman
3/26/20 5:45pm
The fact that we are 3 days into a lockdown (or 10, or 0) is irrelevant. He
chilango
3/26/20 5:54pm
If you haven't read the paper, here it is. Go to page 13 for the relevant table
chilango
3/26/20 6:00pm
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