Obviously Portland State will be a win. Anyone who thinks we'll beat LSU, I've got some beachfront property in Kansas I'd like to sell you. Utah could be a win, but like you said, until we actually win a game, I refuse to get my hopes up. Wisconsin will likely be a loss unless we dominate the trenches, and I don't see that happening since that's what they hang their hat on.
I see 2-2 at best out of the first four games, but after that, the only losses I could realistically see would be Boise and Miss. State. Maybe ECU, but I think we win that one. I'm predicting 9-4 or 10-3.