Now...mind you, Alabama is a mediocre 3 point shooting team at #75 overall in America.

So here is what ChatGPT says about the record we just saw:
what are the odds a team shoots 25/51 from the 3 point line in a college basketball game?


ChatGPT said:
Shooting 25/51 from the 3-point line in a college basketball game is extremely rare. Let's break it down statistically:

🔢 Basic Stats
25 made / 51 attempted = 49.0% 3-point percentage

NCAA average 3PT%: ~33% (varies by team, but this is close to the D1 average)

🧠 Estimating the Probability
We can model this with a binomial distribution:

n = 51 attempts

p = 0.33 (average make rate)

k = 25 makes

Using the binomial probability formula or a normal approximation, we can estimate the chance a team shoots ≥25/51 given the average rate.

📉 Normal Approximation
Mean (μ) = np = 51 * 0.33 ≈ 16.83

Standard deviation (σ) = √(np(1−p)) ≈ √(51 × 0.33 × 0.67) ≈ 3.3

Z-score for 25:

𝑍
=
25
−
16.83
3.3
≈
2.48
Z=
3.3
25−16.83
​
≈2.48
A Z-score of 2.48 corresponds to a probability of ≈ 0.66% (or 0.0066) of a team shooting 25 or more threes in a game, assuming a 33% average.

🎯 If the team is elite from 3...
If a team shoots 40% regularly:

μ = 51 × 0.40 = 20.4, σ ≈ 3.5

Z = (25 − 20.4) / 3.5 ≈ 1.31

Probability of Z ≥ 1.31 ≈ 9.5%

Still not common — only about 1 in 10 games at best for a very good shooting team.

🔚 Conclusion
If average team: ~0.6% chance (~1 in 167 games)

If elite 3PT team: ~9.5% chance (~1 in 10 games)

Shooting 25/51 from 3 is an outlier, a rare hot night — even for a great team.