According to ESPN, the probability that AZ beats ASU is 29.4%

Probability KSU beats ISU is 42.4%.

Do the math, and that means there’s actually a 59% chance one of the above or both of the above happen.

Probability BYU beats Houston is 86.5%.

Do the math and that means the probability of BYU making the CCG is 51%.

Obviously ESPNs prediction methodology isn’t perfect and is probably just BS. But according to their algorithms, BYU’s odds of making the B12 CCG are basically a coin flip.