Tipton has AJ at 40% chance to go to byu.

Quick blurb from a much longer article on a bunch of recruits:

BYU still the team to beat for No. 1 overall recruit

AJ Dybantsa, the No. 1 overall recruit in the 2025 class, is considering six programs — Alabama, Auburn, BYU, North Carolina, Kansas, and Kansas State. The 6-foot-9 small forward out of Utah Prep has taken official visits to each of his finalists, and according to his father, will commit in February.

In speaking with sources, BYU is the likeliest destination at this point in time.

Programs like Kansas, Kansas State and Alabama are still hanging around but the Cougars are ahead in my opinion.