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Oct 20, 2024
11:23:06am
zuko All-American
1,000,000 Simulations: BYU makes CCG in 58.1%, BYU-KSU rematch is most probable
I simulated the rest of the regular season 1 million times based on current win probabilities on the Massey Ratings website. I focused on BYU results and B12 rankings/CCG/winners, but I'm open to suggestions if there's anything else that y'all would like to see in these posts Results are in the graphs below. I don't currently have a way to rank teams based on regular season + CCG results, so I can't predict who will be in the playoffs, so I can't yet make any playoff predictions. (Hopefully I will be able to do this one day.)

I'll be running these simulations every week. Enjoy!

BYU Results
Spoiler
Record
jgMJIyw.png
Probability of making CCG
plEtzks.png
B12 Rankings
lhHCh40.png
1-loss probabilities
b53U4S6.png
2-loss probablilities
wrjvoJQ.png


B12 Results
Spoiler
Probability of winning B12
Fh205Rk.png
Probability of making CCG
ladkTRC.png
CCG Matchups
bFbL9AM.png


Note: I am aware that the team logos don't look great and that Colorado's is always in the wrong position for some reason. If you happen to have good-looking logos that are on square images already scaled to approximately the right size for these graphs, I'd love to have them.
zuko
Previous username
ThetaSigma
Bio page
zuko
Joined
Aug 4, 2015
Last login
Oct 20, 2024
Total posts
3,240 (13 FO)