The reasons it’s tough are obvious - early start, on the road, Baylor seems to be improving week to week, Baylor is backed into a corner with them having a trip to Ames that is almost certainly a loss after this game, BYU tendency to overlook unranked opponents coming off a big win…

With all that said, if BYU can pull this out I think we will be 7-0 when we head out to UCF. I think we handle Arizona at home coming off a bye, and OK St hasn’t really impressed me. I think we get revenge in that Friday night home game. And win or lose at UCF, I think that basically guarantees a ranked matchup in the Holy War. But now I’m getting ahead of myself…

In short, I think this Baylor game will be tougher than Ok St or Arizona at home. To me, BYU has a ~40% chance to win. If they do, I will become irrationally optimistic and start putting bets down on BYU as Big 12 (and national) champions.