If BYU beats Houston and makes it to the CCG and then loses, then the Cougars are said to have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

If BYU beats Houston and then DOES NOT QUALIFY for the CCG, then the Cougars are said to have a a 10% chance of making the playoffs!

Just another behind door #3 surprise for the post season odds.

By the way, the predictor says that if BYU wins the CCG, then we only have an 85% chance of making the playoffs. It look like if Tulane and Boise both make it in as part of the top 5 conference champions, we are left out after winning the BigXII P4 conference.

Dude.... I can't cope with that one.