Oct 29, 2024
10:02:33pm
ColonelMustard All-American
According to Bill Conelly’s metrics that accurately predict the committee’s rank
I keep seeing posts on CB where people think the committee will rank us in the top 10. They should. But apparently Bill Connelly came up with an algorithm that has accurately predicted where the committee has ranked teams. And according to it, we will be ranked 13th.


“A few years ago I learned that by combining poll averages (AP and coaches polls) with a computer average derived from both power ratings (SP+ and FPI) and résumé ratings (Résumé SP+ and strength of record), we can approximate the CFP committee's thinking pretty well. This almost BCS-style rating lines up with what the committee produces most of the time, enough so that when the committee does something different, it stands out.

Here's what this approach produces for this week, along with the changes that took place since last week.”

BCS-style College Football Playoff rankings:
1. Oregon (8-0)
2. Georgia (6-1)
3. Penn State (7-0)
4. Ohio State (6-1)
5. Miami (8-0) — up one spot
6. Texas (7-1) — down one spot
7. Tennessee (6-1)
8. Notre Dame (7-1) — up two spots
9. Clemson (6-1)
10. Texas A&M (7-1) — up four spots
11. Iowa State (8-0)
12. Indiana (8-0)
13. BYU (8-0)
14. Alabama (6-2) — up one spot
15. LSU (6-2) — down seven spots
16. Kansas State (7-1)
17. Ole Miss (6-2)
18. Pittsburgh (7-0) — up two spots
19. Boise State (6-1)
20. SMU (7-1) — up one spot
21. Army (7-0) — up two spots
22. Missouri (6-2) — down four spots
23. Colorado (6-2) — up seven spots
24. Washington State (7-1) — up five spots
25. South Carolina (4-3)
This message has been modified
Originally posted on Oct 29, 2024 at 10:02:33pm
Message modified by ColonelMustard on Oct 29, 2024 at 10:02:58pm
ColonelMustard
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