1. Turnovers. If BYU can have a positive ratio of turnovers and BYU can convert those turnovers into points and limit UCF's points off turnovers, I'd bet BYU wins, and maybe convincingly;
2. The interior line play on offense. UCF's strength is that huge nose tackle and the other tackle. The interior offensive line will need to block well, and ARod will need to call plays not into the teeth of the strength;
3. Limit long plays by UCF on offense and don't over-pursue;
4. Force UCF into passing situations as UCF is inefficient passing, and will lead to turnovers for BYU.
For some reason, it feels as if BYU will be well-prepared and will come out with a good, solid win. I've been mistaken many times before though.