I highly doubt any of the others make it. All this hand wringing over several 1 loss teams happening just feels very unlikely. The B12 is a balanced league and only a couple teams have a realistic chance to run the table the rest of the year or have only 1 loss. More than likely every team will lose at least one and only 2 teams have a decent chance of finishing the regular season with only 1 conference loss and that is ISU and BYU. KSU may be able to win out, but they will need to go through ISU to do it and more than likely I think they lose at least 1 along the way. BYU has a very favorable remaining schedule and if they don't make the championship game it will be because they significantly stumbled. It would be best for the conference's hopes for BYU and ISU to play in the CCG because they will both be ranked and not penalized for a loss, which means 2 teams with a good chance to get in, as long as there isn't significant carnage the rest of the season against the top teams.
Texas Tech has a tough schedule and will lose at least 2 more, they have had a pretty easy schedule so far and I don't think they are really that good
Cincy will lose at least 2 more with a tough schedule
CU has a chance, but I still lean towards them losing 2 more games
All other teams not mentioned already have 2 losses and more than likely have no real shot of making it. Sorry Utah!
|
Losses So Far |
|
|
|
|
|
Remaining Losses Expected |
Total Expected Losses |
Final Record |
BYU |
0 |
@UCF |
@UT |
Kansas |
@ASU |
Houston |
1-2 losses |
1-2 |
8-1 or 7-2 |
ISU |
0 |
TT |
@KS |
Cincy |
@UT |
KSU |
1-2 losses |
1-2 |
8-1 or 7-2 |
KSU |
1 |
Kansas |
@Houston |
ASU |
Cincy |
@ISU |
1 Loss |
2 |
7-2 |
Cincy |
1 |
@CU |
Wva |
@ISU |
@KSU |
TCU |
2 losses |
3 |
6-3 |
CU |
1 |
Cincy |
@TT |
Utah |
@KS |
OSU |
1-2 losses |
2-3 |
6-3 or 7-2 |
TT |
1 |
@TCU |
ISU |
CU |
@OSU |
Wva |
2-3 losses |
3-4 |
5-4 or 4-5 |