We want Iowa St. to win out. Simplest
Iowa St. wins out.
BYU is in with 1 loss no matter what else happens (AMENDMENT: Technically if UCF wins out-5 in a row and KState loses 3 more games then we are out- I'm not sure what the odds of this happening are but I imagine it is pretty low)
KState wins out
We need Colorado AND Iowa St to lose again or we are out
Colorado wins out
We need K State to lose 1 (We lose all scenarios if KState also wins out)
Texas Tech wins out
Just need Cincy to lose a game and we are in
Cincy wins out
Need KState to beat Iowa St, if not then we need Iowa St to lose another and TTech to lose a game.
Based of this guy's work
mred's Big 12 FB Standings Generator (notnothing.net)