1,000,000 Simulations: BYU makes CCG in 58.1%, BYU-KSU rematch is most probable
I simulated the rest of the regular season 1 million times based on current win probabilities on the Massey Ratings website. I focused on BYU results and B12 rankings/CCG/winners, but I'm open to suggestions if there's anything else that y'all would like to see in these posts Results are in the graphs below. I don't currently have a way to rank teams based on regular season + CCG results, so I can't predict who will be in the playoffs, so I can't yet make any playoff predictions. (Hopefully I will be able to do this one day.)
I'll be running these simulations every week. Enjoy!
BYU Results Spoiler
Record
Probability of making CCG
B12 Rankings
1-loss probabilities
2-loss probablilities
B12 Results Spoiler
Probability of winning B12
Probability of making CCG
CCG Matchups
Note: I am aware that the team logos don't look great and that Colorado's is always in the wrong position for some reason. If you happen to have good-looking logos that are on square images already scaled to approximately the right size for these graphs, I'd love to have them.