draft spots, Alex Smith would have been the one with the Aaron Rodgers type career and Aaron Rodgers would have had the Alex Smith type career point.

His point being that where you get drafted makes all the difference and that they have about the same talent, etc.

Um, no. Yes it's a big factor but I'm sorry, Aaron Rodgers is just a better quarterback than Alex Smith. Even at 40 years old, Rogers made a fade away throw yesterday that Alex Smith could never make. The cream would have eventually risen to the top and under almost every scenario, Aaron is just better than Alex Smith.